Who will be the favourites and underdogs for each class in the Oscars this year? Continue reading for our gambling tips and predictions for this year’s ceremony.
The nominations are in and the short lists have been revealed for the 91st Annual Awards — or as they’re more affectionally known — The Oscars. On Sunday 24th February 2019, Hollywood’s greatest stars, old and new, will fill the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles to see who’ll walk away with a coveted Academy Award and (more significantly ) to witness anything dramas, controversies, and award snubs might occur.
The 2019 nominations came with some raised eyebrows and plenty of cheering from the rafters. Roma and The Favorite lead the way with 10 nominations apiece using A Star Is Born and Vice both procuring 8. The greatest surprise is Black Panther bagging a total of 7 nods, including one for Best Picture, making it the very first superhero film to be nominated for the highest award.
But now everyone’s attention turns to the ceremony itself, that the eventual winners would be and where money can be made by correctly calling the outcomes. Who is a certain thing and where would be the very best chances of an upset? Here I’ll take you through who will win, who should win and who is a dark horse at most of the important 6 categories, which means you have the best suggestions on where to put your money.
“A Star Is Born”
The biggest award of the night is no stranger to controversies; The La La Land/Moonlight blend up of 2017 and Shakespeare In Love winning over Saving Private Ryan in 1999 spring into mind. So, to ever assume that this category is a lock is a fool’s game. With that said, last year’s winner for Best Picture and manager – The form of Water and Guillermo Del Toro respectively – were about as easy to predict as you will see. It’s one of those things we love about the Oscars and the finest Picture race in particular — it is either a boring, easy-to-call affair or a outrageous controversy… the problem is, you never know which one you are going to get each year!
This year’s front runner is Alfonso Cuaron’s Roma. Almost everything about it screams’triumph’: it is a black and white foreign language film with no scoretakes, shot beautifully and directed by a prior Best Director winner in Cuaron. The only red flag is that it is a Netflix movie. Roma is your very first Netflix movie to be nominated for Best Picture and because of this no one quite knows what impact that will have on its chances of winning. As for me, I really don’t believe being a Netflix movie will hurt it at all, I really think it could help it as the movie has been much more accessible to crowds that some of its competitors. But the simple fact of the matter is, no one actually understands and only time will tell.
Hot on the heels of Roma are Green Book, The Favourite, and A Star Is Born. Of those 3, The Favourite is, well… the preferred to steal the prize. Ahead of nominations, Green Book could have been right up there. But with the news that Green Book’s manager Peter Farrelly and A Star Is Born manager, Bradley Cooper both neglected to secure Best Director nominations, this has undoubtably hurt both films chances of winning Best Picture. I still think Green Book has a chance of creating a late climb to the surface but since it currently stands, Roma is certainly the one to beat.
As great as BlacKKKlansman and Bohemian Rhapsody were as movies, their Best Picture nominations are charge sufficient and that I can’t see either movie hard for the win . The exact same goes to Vice; despite grabbing 8 nominations, the movie has had blended critics reviews and I can’t find the Academy rewarding a movie about Dick Cheney using its greatest award of the night.
Now, let us discuss Black Panther; although the movie has a total of 7 nominations, none of these are for acting, directing or screenplay and no super hero film has been nominated for Best Picture, let alone won it. So, there is absolutely no way it could win, right? Practically, no. However, in Hollywood anything can happen and Dark Panther winning the top prize might be the next step in the evolution of cinema along with the Academy Awards.
Black Panther is written, directed and mostly created by black filmmakers and at a year where the film business was forced to have a long hard look at itself, a celebration of diversity in Hollywood isn’t only long overdue, but may well be a significant focus of this 2019 ceremony.
Consider this also; Black Panther grossed around $1 Million worldwide. Yes, it’s an action-packed, CGI experience, but there’s so much more to it than that. The same as many previous Best Picture nominees and winners, Black Panther tackles a host of timely and relevant questions about race and bias. The more I think about it, the more I believe, it actually could happen!
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