Who will be the favorites and underdogs for every class in the Oscars this year? Read on for our gambling tips and predictions for this year’s ceremony.
The nominations are in and also the brief lists have been revealed for the 91st Annual Awards — or as they’re more affectionally known — The Oscars. About Sunday 24th February 2019, Hollywood’s greatest stars, new and old, will fill the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles to see who’ll walk away with a coveted Academy Award and (more significantly ) to witness anything dramas, controversies, and award snubs may happen.
The 2019 nominations came with some raised eyebrows and plenty of cheering in the rafters. Roma and The Favorite guide the way with 10 nominations apiece with A Star Is Born and Vice both procuring 8. The greatest surprise is Black Panther bagging a total of 7 nods, including one for Best Picture, making it the first superhero movie to be nominated for the highest award.
But now everyone’s attention turns to the ceremony itself, that the ultimate winners will be and where cash can be made by correctly predicting the outcomes. Who is a certain thing and where are the very best chances of an upset? Here I’ll take you through who will win, that should win and who’s a dark horse at all the major 6 categories, which means you have the best suggestions on where to place your money.
“A Star Is Born”
The largest award of the night is no stranger to controversies; The La La Land/Moonlight mix up of 2017 and Shakespeare In Love winning over Saving Private Ryan in 1999 spring into mind. So, to assume this class is a lock is a fool’s game. With that being said, last year’s winner for Best Picture and director – The form of Water and Guillermo Del Toro respectively – were roughly as easy to predict as you’ll see. It’s but one of those things that we love about the Oscars and the finest Picture race in particular — it’s either a boring, easy-to-call affair or an ridiculous controversy… the problem is, you will never know which one you are going to get every year!
This year’s front runner is Alfonso Cuaron’s Roma. Almost everything about it screams’triumph’: it is a black and white foreign language film with no score, long takes, shot beautifully and directed by a prior Best Director winner in Cuaron. The single red flag is it is a Netflix movie. Roma is the very first Netflix film to be nominated for Best Picture and because of this no one really knows what impact that will have on its chances of winning. Personally, I really don’t believe being a Netflix movie will hurt it at all, I actually think it could help it as the film has been far more accessible to crowds that some of its rivals. However, the fact of the matter is, no one really knows and only time will tell.
Hot on the heels of Roma are Green Book, The Favourite, and A Star Is Born. Of the 3, The Favourite is, well… the preferred to steal the prize. Ahead of nominations, Green Book could have been up there. But with the news that Green Book’s manager Peter Farrelly and A Star Is Born manager, Bradley Cooper both neglected to procure Best Director nominations, this has undoubtably hurt both films chances of winning Best Picture. I still think Green Book has a chance of creating a late rise to the surface but since it currently stands, Roma is certainly the one to conquer.
As good as BlacKKKlansman and Bohemian Rhapsody were movies, their Best Picture nominations are charge enough and I can not see either movie hard for the win here. The exact same goes for Vice; even though catching 8 nominations, the film has had blended critics testimonials and I can’t find the Academy rewarding a film about Dick Cheney with its highest award of the night.
Now, let’s talk about Black Panther; although the movie has a total of 7 nominations, none of them are for acting, directing or screenplay and no super hero movie has been nominated for Best Picture, let alone won it. So, there is no way it could win, right? Practically, no. However, in Hollywood anything can happen and Black Panther winning the top prize might be the next step in the development of cinema and the Academy Awards.
Black Panther is composed, directed and largely created by black filmmakers and at a year where the film business was forced to take a long hard look at itself, a celebration of diversity in Hollywood is not only long overdue, but could well be a significant focus of this 2019 ceremony.
Consider this too; Black Panther grossed over $1 Million worldwide. Yes, it is an action-packed, CGI experience, but there is so much more to it than that. The same as many previous Best Picture nominees and winners, Black Panther tackles a host of timely and pertinent questions about race and bias. The more I consider it, the more I believe, it actually could happen!
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